My answer to Will a military coup in Turkey affect the EU-Turkey relations?
Answer by Abbey Laurel-Smith:
Yes, if the coup succeeds, political relations with the EU might be strained for a while. EU will demand a transition back to a democratically elected government – by the ballot.
But if the coup plotters are as smooth as Pakistani military leaders, then EU will have no option than to accept a joint civilian/military leadership template from Turkey.
But EU is all about trade, so i see no drastic change. Supplies and logistics have been arranged in advance.
If the coup fails, then Erdogan will from now on be made to answer a few questions by the EU. Safety, transit and security of supplies overland in Turkey is now at stake.